Publication Date

11-7-2025

Document Type

Article

Organizational Units

Daniel Felix Ritchie School of Engineering and Computer Science, Electrical and Computer Engineering

Keywords

Dynamic line rating, Power line capacity, Power system operation, Vegetation management, Physics-based wildfire simulation

Abstract

The growing frequency and intensity of wildfires is significantly impacting power grid operations. Specifically, wildfires spreading to power lines can induce thermal stress, leading to a restriction in line capacity. This reduction imposes a challenge for electric utilities as they must supply electric demand while experiencing reduced transmission capacity. This paper introduces a model that simulates wildfire behavior in proximity to a transmission line, evaluates the impact on conductor temperature and capacity constraints, and subsequently analyzes the impact on grid operation from economic and reliability perspectives. The numerical studies conducted on the IEEE 14-bus test system assess both economic and reliability perspectives under three scenarios: normal conditions, wildfire conditions with high-risk vegetation, and wildfire conditions with low-risk vegetation. Results show an 8 % increase in total operational cost under high-risk vegetation, which is reduced to a 1 % increase when vegetation risk is low. The wildfire exposure also leads to significant derating of the affected line, with maximum capacity reductions of 57 % and 22 % in the high- and low-risk scenarios, respectively, relative to normal conditions. These findings offer a strategy to maintain operational resilience for a power grid during wildfire and highlight the critical role of vegetation management in mitigating wildfire impact on transmission lines.

Copyright Date

11-7-2025

Copyright Statement / License for Reuse

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Rights Holder

Saeed Nematshahi, Behrouz Sohrabi, Amin Khodaei, Ali Arabnya, and Rui Fan

Provenance

Received from Elsevier

File Format

application/pdf

Language

English (eng)

Extent

10 pgs

File Size

23.3 MB

Publication Statement

Copyright is held by the Authors. User is responsible for all copyright compliance. This article was originally published as 

Nematshahi, S., Sohrabi, B., Khodaei, A., Arabnya, A., & Fan, R. (2025). Wildfire Impact Analysis on Power System Operation: A Framework Leveraging Physics-Based Wildfire Simulation and Dynamic Line Rating. Electric Power Systems Research, 252. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2025.112467

Publication Title

Electric Power Systems Research

Volume

252

First Page

112467

ISSN

0378-7796



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