Date of Award

Summer 8-23-2025

Document Type

Dissertation

Degree Name

Ph.D. in International Studies

Organizational Unit

Josef Korbel School of International Studies, International Studies

First Advisor

Timothy D. Sisk

Second Advisor

Naazneen Barma

Third Advisor

Rachel Sigman

Copyright Statement / License for Reuse

All Rights Reserved
All Rights Reserved.

Keywords

Cote d'Ivoire, Democratization, Opposition, Political elite, Senegal

Abstract

The central puzzle of this study is why some countries are able to escape the hybridity trap to experience electoral turnover and further democratic deepening while others remain stuck in hybridity. This dissertation centers opposition goals and strategy as the key to explaining different democratic trajectories. Where the opposition seeks changes to key democratic institutions and pushes for those changes within existing institutions instead of focusing on an anti-incumbent strategy to win elections, they can set up an institutional framework that ultimately allows them to make progress towards electoral turnover and that can later constrain the executive and strengthen institutions that will facilitate further democratic deepening following that electoral turnover. This project uses a historical institutionalist research approach, conducting episode analysis for within-case analysis and structured, focused comparison for analysis across two primary and two shadow cases.

The alternative pathway towards democratization that is developed in this project is illustrated through episodic analytical narratives of two most similar cases: Senegal (1989-2000) and Côte d’Ivoire (1988-2000). Across three key episodes of institutional negotiation—negotiations of electoral rules from 1989-1993, negotiations around the electoral management body and the electoral code from 1993-1998, and negotiations around electoral coalitions from 1998-2000—the Senegalese opposition uses moderate institutional strategies to pursue incremental changes to the electoral regime, resulting in incremental progress towards electoral turnover in 2000 and laying the groundwork for democratic deepening post-turnover. By contrast, in Côte d’Ivoire across three episodes of negotiation—the return to multiparty politics and ruling party succession from 1988- 1993, the introduction of Ivoirité and expansion of the opposition from 1994-1996, and the coup d’etat and negotiations around new elections from 1996-2000—the opposition’s focus on the exclusionary rule of Ivoirité and their use of more radical extrainstitutional strategies results in the country remaining stuck in hybridity. Two shadow cases— Malawi (1992-1995) and Kenya (1978-2007)—highlight how the theory travels to other country contexts.

Copyright Date

8-2025

Publication Statement

Copyright is held by the author. User is responsible for all copyright compliance.

Rights Holder

Kelci Burckhardt

Provenance

Received from ProQuest

File Format

application/pdf

Language

English (eng)

Extent

160 pgs

File Size

1.3 MB

Available for download on Saturday, September 18, 2027



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